Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 19:00
12.2342.6%
X3.3828.1%
23.2329.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Willem II
LLLLLWLDDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Heracles
LLLDLLLLWW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.50
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Willem II attack
0.70goals per matchHeracles conceded1.50Matchup
Heracles attack
0.70goals per matchWillem II conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.20
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
15.20
Match total
19.80
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
2.50
On target
2.10
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%41.9%-0.7 pp
Draw28.1%29.1%+1.0 pp
Away29.4%29.1%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
1.41–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
0-09.0%
0-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.42–4.50
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%30.5%–44.0% CI
Draw FT39.1%32.4%–46.1% CI
Away FT24.0%18.5%–30.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away40.1%