Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 19:00
12.2342.6%
X3.3828.1%
23.2329.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LLLLLWLDDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Heracles
LLLDLLLLWW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.50
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.70goals per match
Heracles conceded1.50
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.70goals per match
Willem II conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.20
Match total
2.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
15.20
Match total
19.80

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
2.50
On target
2.10
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%41.9%-0.7 pp
Draw28.1%29.1%+1.0 pp
Away29.4%29.1%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.411.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
0-09.0%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.50
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%30.5%–44.0% CI
Draw FT39.1%32.4%–46.1% CI
Away FT24.0%18.5%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away40.1%