Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 11:15
13.5826.4%
X3.4727.2%
22.0446.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
DLLLLLWLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Vitesse
WWLWDWLDDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.80
Against
3.80
10.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.70goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.30
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.40goals per match
Willem II conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.80
10.70
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.10
Match total
2.80
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

6.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
14.90
Match total
20.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
3.00
On target
4.80
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%18.8%-7.6 pp
Draw27.2%30.8%+3.5 pp
Away46.3%50.4%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.021.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.0%
0-011.1%
1-110.3%
1-29.4%
2-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.71
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%6.3%–29.4% CI
Draw FT57.1%40.9%–72.0% CI
Away FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.9%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away51.4%