Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:30
112.287.7%
X6.8713.8%
21.2178.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
WDLLDLDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Ajax
DWWWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
2.10
1.60
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
6.60
Against
3.10
11.70
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.10
1.60
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
1.00goals per matchAjax conceded0.60Matchup
Ajax attack
2.10goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
6.60
Corners against
3.10
11.70
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.10
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
20.90
Match total
20.70
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
17.80N=10
5.80
On target
6.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.7%5.6%-2.2 pp
Draw13.8%5.6%-8.3 pp
Away78.5%88.9%+10.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.67–3.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-222.2%
1-216.7%
1-411.1%
1-311.1%
0-411.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.67–6.67
Average total10.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.538.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals31.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away62.5%