Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 19:00
11.0987.4%
X10.658.9%
226.313.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
LWDWLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
LDLLWLDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.40
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
1.80
Against
5.40
10.50
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.00goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.40
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

0.70goals per match
Ajax conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
1.80
Corners against
5.40
10.50
Match total
8.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
17.90
Match total
18.40

Shots

24.00N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
9.40
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home87.4%92.9%+5.4 pp
Draw8.9%7.1%-1.8 pp
Away3.6%0.0%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.585.7%
Over 3.557.1%
BTTS28.6%

Historical average

3.640.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-021.4%
5-014.3%
4-014.3%
1-07.1%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

8.433.00
Average total11.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.592.9%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.9%62.3%–98.4% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

3.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals63.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away36.4%