Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 19:00
15.6016.9%
X3.9723.9%
21.6059.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
WDLLLLLWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LWLLDWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.60
Against
5.40
10.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.70goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.20
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.70goals per match
Willem II conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.40
10.50
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.10
Match total
3.20
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
15.40
Match total
19.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
2.90
On target
5.00
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.9%16.7%-0.3 pp
Draw23.9%14.6%-9.3 pp
Away59.2%68.8%+9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

0.811.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.8%
1-218.8%
1-38.3%
0-28.3%
1-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.336.33
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Away FT68.4%46.0%–84.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals26.3%
3+ goals5.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.3%
Away68.4%