Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 13:30
11.4366.5%
X5.0218.9%
26.5014.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WLWDWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Feyenoord
LWWDDWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.80
0.50
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
2.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
8.50N=10
1.60
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.00goals per match
Feyenoord conceded0.90
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

1.80goals per match
Ajax conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
8.50N=10
1.60
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
12.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.00
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.50N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
16.80
Match total
18.50

Shots

24.60N=10
Shots
19.70N=10
9.50
On target
6.30
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.5%80.0%+13.5 pp
Draw18.9%16.0%-2.9 pp
Away14.6%4.0%-10.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.556.0%
BTTS72.0%

Historical average

2.680.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-124.0%
1-112.0%
5-18.0%
2-08.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.843.28
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.568.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away45.5%