Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 13:30
11.4366.5%
X5.0218.9%
26.5014.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajax
WLWDWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Feyenoord
LWWDDWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
1.80
0.50
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
2.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.70N=10
For
8.50N=10
1.60
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
12.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajax attack
3.00goals per matchFeyenoord conceded0.90Matchup
Feyenoord attack
1.80goals per matchAjax conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
8.50N=10
1.60
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
12.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.00
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.50N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
16.80
Match total
18.50
Shots
24.60N=10
Shots
19.70N=10
9.50
On target
6.30
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.5%80.0%+13.5 pp
Draw18.9%16.0%-2.9 pp
Away14.6%4.0%-10.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.556.0%
BTTS72.0%
Historical average
2.68–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-124.0%
1-112.0%
5-18.0%
2-08.0%
1-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.84–3.28
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.568.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.524.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away45.5%