Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 11:15
12.3640.2%
X3.3328.5%
23.0231.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
DLLWLLDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Willem II
WLDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
2.30
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
2.30
Goals conceded
2.50
3.40
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.10goals per match
Willem II conceded2.50
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.80goals per match
For Sittard conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
19.60
Match total
20.10

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.40
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches487
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%39.6%-0.5 pp
Draw28.5%29.0%+0.5 pp
Away31.4%31.4%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.371.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
2-19.7%
0-19.2%
0-09.0%
1-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.81
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=487.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.7%18.5%–32.0% CI
Draw FT42.9%35.3%–50.8% CI
Away FT32.5%25.6%–40.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away51.9%