Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 13:30
15.0118.9%
X4.4321.3%
21.5859.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vitesse
WWWDLWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ajax
DWWWWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.00
0.60
Conceded
0.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.40
Against
3.20
11.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.50
1.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vitesse attack
1.20goals per matchAjax conceded0.50Matchup
Ajax attack
2.00goals per matchVitesse conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.20
11.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.40
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
28.20
Match total
22.90
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
4.40
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%18.8%-0.1 pp
Draw21.3%6.3%-15.1 pp
Away59.8%75.0%+15.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.587.5%
Over 3.562.5%
BTTS75.0%
Historical average
1.44–2.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-318.8%
2-312.5%
3-212.5%
2-412.5%
1-412.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.00–4.88
Average total8.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.543.8%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.512.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away65.0%