Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 13:30
11.5162.8%
X4.6020.6%
25.7016.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WWLLWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Heracles
WWLDWLWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
9.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.10goals per match
Heracles conceded1.60
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.00goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
9.20
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.00
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.90
Match total
21.10

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
5.50
On target
2.50
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%66.7%+3.9 pp
Draw20.6%8.3%-12.3 pp
Away16.6%25.0%+8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.251.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.7%
3-116.7%
5-18.3%
1-58.3%
0-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.082.75
Average total8.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%