Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-13 · 13:30
11.0986.6%
X10.199.3%
222.884.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajax
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
VVV Venlo
LWWLLLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
2.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.80
Against
7.20
10.20
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
2.90
3.60
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajax attack
2.90goals per matchVVV Venlo conceded2.90Matchup
VVV Venlo attack
1.10goals per matchAjax conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
2.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
7.20
10.20
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
1.50
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.00
Match total
21.30
Shots
18.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
7.70
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.6%85.7%-0.9 pp
Draw9.3%14.3%+5.0 pp
Away4.1%0.0%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.585.7%
Over 3.571.4%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
4.00–0.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-021.4%
8-014.3%
2-17.1%
1-17.1%
2-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
9.07–3.07
Average total12.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.585.7%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT86.7%62.1%–96.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals46.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home93.3%
Away33.3%