Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-13 · 13:30
11.0986.6%
X10.199.3%
222.884.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
VVV Venlo
LWWLLLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
2.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.80
Against
7.20
10.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
2.90
3.60
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.90goals per match
VVV Venlo conceded2.90
Matchup

VVV Venlo attack

1.10goals per match
Ajax conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
2.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
7.20
10.20
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
1.50
Match total
2.40
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.00
Match total
21.30

Shots

18.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
7.70
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.6%85.7%-0.9 pp
Draw9.3%14.3%+5.0 pp
Away4.1%0.0%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.585.7%
Over 3.571.4%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

4.000.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-021.4%
8-014.3%
2-17.1%
1-17.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

9.073.07
Average total12.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.585.7%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT86.7%62.1%–96.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals46.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.3%
Away33.3%