Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 15:45
16.5614.4%
X4.8319.6%
21.4366.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LDLLWLDWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
DWDWWLDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.30
1.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
7.90N=10
4.60
Against
4.50
9.20
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.20goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.60
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.30goals per match
Willem II conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
7.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.50
9.20
Match total
12.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.00
Match total
1.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
18.00
Match total
17.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
4.50
On target
7.30
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%12.1%-2.3 pp
Draw19.6%18.2%-1.4 pp
Away66.0%69.7%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS39.4%

Historical average

0.702.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-321.2%
1-315.2%
1-112.1%
0-29.1%
0-49.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.706.70
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%