Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 15:45
16.5614.4%
X4.8319.6%
21.4366.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Willem II
LDLLWLDWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
DWDWWLDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.30
1.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
7.90N=10
4.60
Against
4.50
9.20
Total
12.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Willem II attack
1.20goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.60Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.30goals per matchWillem II conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
7.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.50
9.20
Match total
12.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.00
Match total
1.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
18.00
Match total
17.30
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
4.50
On target
7.30
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%12.1%-2.3 pp
Draw19.6%18.2%-1.4 pp
Away66.0%69.7%+3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS39.4%
Historical average
0.70–2.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-321.2%
1-315.2%
1-112.1%
0-29.1%
0-49.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.70–6.70
Average total10.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away80.0%