Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 20:00
12.3640.0%
X3.5126.9%
22.8633.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
VVV Venlo
LLWDWLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Waalwijk
LLDLDDDLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.50
1.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.20
Against
5.30
8.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
VVV Venlo attack
1.00goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.50Matchup
Waalwijk attack
0.50goals per matchVVV Venlo conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.30
8.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.20
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.00
Match total
21.10
Shots
7.90N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
2.60
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%39.2%-0.9 pp
Draw26.9%29.7%+2.8 pp
Away33.0%31.1%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS60.1%
Historical average
1.35–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.9%
2-111.5%
1-210.8%
1-08.8%
2-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.72
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.533.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals18.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.2%
Away48.6%