Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 19:00
11.3172.3%
X5.6216.9%
28.7610.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WWWLLWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
For Sittard
WDWWWWLWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.60
8.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.80
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.50goals per match
For Sittard conceded0.90
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.80goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.60
8.80
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.40N=10
For
1.10N=10
1.70
Match total
2.30
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
19.60
Match total
21.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.80
On target
4.60
19%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.3%61.5%-10.8 pp
Draw16.9%15.4%-1.5 pp
Away10.8%23.1%+12.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.592.3%
Over 3.569.2%
BTTS76.9%

Historical average

3.231.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
4-115.4%
6-07.7%
4-07.7%
2-57.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.084.08
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.2%41.0%–80.9% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.2%
Away36.8%