Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 15:45
11.2675.0%
X6.1015.5%
29.989.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWLWWWDDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Heerenveen
DDLDLDLLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
8.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.10goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.70Matchup
Heerenveen attack
0.80goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
8.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.90
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.80
Match total
20.80
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.70
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.0%77.4%+2.4 pp
Draw15.5%12.9%-2.6 pp
Away9.5%9.7%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.551.6%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
2.61–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.9%
3-09.7%
3-19.7%
2-19.7%
4-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.48–3.81
Average total11.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.6%
Over 9.574.2%
Over 10.558.1%
Over 11.541.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away53.3%