Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 20:00
11.5063.0%
X4.3821.6%
26.1315.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
DDDWWDWLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Willem II
LLLDLLWDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.80
Against
4.20
11.70
Total
6.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.40
3.10
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.60goals per match
Willem II conceded2.40
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.10goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.20
11.70
Match total
6.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
2.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.80
Match total
21.90

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.10
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.0%62.9%-0.1 pp
Draw21.6%25.7%+4.1 pp
Away15.4%11.4%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

2.170.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.4%
1-111.4%
2-08.6%
1-08.6%
3-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.383.44
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI
Draw FT51.9%34.0%–69.3% CI
Away FT7.4%2.1%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals51.9%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.4%
Away37.0%