Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:30
11.6059.0%
X4.1123.0%
25.2418.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heracles
LLWWWLDWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
VVV Venlo
LLWWLLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
2.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
2.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Against
6.80
9.20
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
2.80
2.60
Total goals
4.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heracles attack
1.60goals per matchVVV Venlo conceded2.80Matchup
VVV Venlo attack
1.30goals per matchHeracles conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
2.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.80
9.20
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
1.90
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.70
Match total
22.20
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.80
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.0%57.6%-1.4 pp
Draw23.0%16.3%-6.7 pp
Away18.0%26.1%+8.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.68–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.1%
1-014.1%
1-18.7%
3-08.7%
0-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.63–4.04
Average total10.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.551.1%
Over 11.540.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.6%34.8%–68.0% CI
Draw FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Away FT16.1%7.1%–32.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals19.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.2%
Away48.4%