Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 13:30
11.5361.9%
X4.5220.9%
25.5017.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajax
WLWDWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WWDDWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.30
Against
4.30
11.20
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajax attack
2.90goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.10Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.10goals per matchAjax conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.30
11.20
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
0.80N=10
1.40
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
20.10
Match total
21.80
Shots
18.50N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
7.90
On target
5.70
16%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.9%63.4%+1.6 pp
Draw20.9%14.6%-6.3 pp
Away17.2%22.0%+4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.543.9%
BTTS63.4%
Historical average
2.24–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.6%
2-112.2%
3-19.8%
5-19.8%
0-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.39–3.90
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away36.4%