Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 13:30
11.5361.9%
X4.5220.9%
25.5017.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WLWDWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WWDDWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.30
Against
4.30
11.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.80
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.90goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.10goals per match
Ajax conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.30
11.20
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
0.80N=10
1.40
Match total
2.50
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
20.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
7.90
On target
5.70
16%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.9%63.4%+1.6 pp
Draw20.9%14.6%-6.3 pp
Away17.2%22.0%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.543.9%
BTTS63.4%

Historical average

2.241.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.6%
2-112.2%
3-19.8%
5-19.8%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.90
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%