Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 11:15
12.5337.2%
X3.3727.9%
22.7034.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Emmen
LDLLLLLWDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Heracles
LDWWLDWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
2.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
6.70
8.60
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
2.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Emmen attack
1.20goals per matchHeracles conceded1.70Matchup
Heracles attack
0.80goals per matchFC Emmen conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.70
8.60
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.80
Match total
22.10
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches220
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%35.0%-2.2 pp
Draw27.9%27.3%-0.7 pp
Away34.9%37.7%+2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
1.25–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-011.4%
1-210.5%
0-18.6%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.60
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=220.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%26.2%–49.1% CI
Draw FT33.8%23.5%–46.0% CI
Away FT29.2%19.6%–41.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals21.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away52.3%