Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-23 · 17:45
11.8750.5%
X3.6625.8%
23.9723.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
WLDLLWLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Waalwijk
WLLDLDDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
2.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
2.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.30goals per match
Waalwijk conceded1.40
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

0.70goals per match
Willem II conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.10
Match total
2.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
18.90
Match total
21.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%53.1%+2.7 pp
Draw25.8%27.3%+1.5 pp
Away23.8%19.6%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.801.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-08.4%
3-08.4%
2-07.7%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.37
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.9%29.9%–59.0% CI
Draw FT39.0%25.7%–54.3% CI
Away FT17.1%8.5%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals19.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.0%
Away39.0%