Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-22 · 17:45
11.4067.2%
X4.9718.9%
26.8113.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WWLWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Utrecht
DDLWLWWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

3.30
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
0.90
90%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.10
Against
4.30
10.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
4.30
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.30goals per match
Utrecht conceded0.90
Matchup

Utrecht attack

2.00goals per match
Ajax conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.30
10.80
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
1.30
Match total
2.10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
20.10
Match total
22.70

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
8.00
On target
6.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.2%78.6%+11.3 pp
Draw18.9%14.3%-4.7 pp
Away13.8%7.1%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

2.000.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-128.6%
2-121.4%
1-021.4%
1-114.3%
5-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.36
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away33.3%