Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 15:45
115.166.2%
X8.0611.7%
21.1582.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Waalwijk
DWLLDLWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Ajax
WWDWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.50
1.40
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
7.40N=10
4.10
Against
2.70
10.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

1.50goals per match
Ajax conceded0.70
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.50goals per match
Waalwijk conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
7.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
2.70
10.20
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.30
Match total
1.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.20
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
20.50N=10
7.00
On target
7.70
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home6.2%0.0%-6.2 pp
Draw11.7%16.7%+5.0 pp
Away82.1%83.3%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.575.0%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

0.753.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-416.7%
0-116.7%
1-416.7%
1-18.3%
0-58.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.088.00
Average total11.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.583.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
Exact HT 0-0 comparable sample: N=8. Minimum required: 10. No FT distribution is published below that threshold.
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Scenario unavailableStatus: insufficient_sample