Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 13:30
19.979.5%
X6.1615.4%
21.2675.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
VVV Venlo
DLLWDWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
DDWDWWLDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.20
1.90
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
8.40N=10
5.20
Against
4.20
8.30
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
VVV Venlo attack
1.20goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.70Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.20goals per matchVVV Venlo conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
8.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.20
8.30
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.20
Match total
1.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
24.70
Match total
18.10
Shots
8.60N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
2.70
On target
7.30
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.5%6.7%-2.8 pp
Draw15.4%33.3%+18.0 pp
Away75.1%60.0%-15.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.13–3.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-420.0%
2-213.3%
1-113.3%
1-213.3%
1-36.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.27–7.20
Average total10.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away66.7%