Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 13:30
12.2841.4%
X3.3028.6%
23.1530.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
DWWLDWWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Heerenveen
DDDLDLDLLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.40
8.70
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
1.70
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.20goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.80
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

0.70goals per match
Groningen conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.40
8.70
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.10
Match total
2.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.60
Match total
20.20

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches363
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%40.2%-1.2 pp
Draw28.6%28.9%+0.3 pp
Away30.0%30.9%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.331.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
0-111.0%
2-110.7%
1-010.5%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.66
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=363.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.1%23.6%–39.8% CI
Draw FT40.2%31.9%–49.0% CI
Away FT28.7%21.4%–37.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals9.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away48.4%