Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 17:45
12.1044.9%
X3.5226.8%
23.3428.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LLLWWWLDWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Willem II
LLLLDLLWDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
8.90
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.30goals per match
Willem II conceded2.10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.10goals per match
Heracles conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
8.90
Match total
7.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.10
Match total
2.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.20
Match total
23.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%47.6%+2.6 pp
Draw26.8%33.5%+6.7 pp
Away28.3%18.9%-9.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.621.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.5%
1-014.0%
2-010.4%
2-27.9%
2-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.66
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI
Draw FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI
Away FT17.4%9.1%–30.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.4%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.2%
Away45.7%