Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-09 · 19:00
11.2178.6%
X6.6114.4%
213.477.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vitesse
WDWWWDLWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Den Haag
LDDWLLLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.50
0.60
Conceded
2.40
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Against
6.80
9.50
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
0.60
Goals conceded
2.40
1.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vitesse attack
1.30goals per matchDen Haag conceded2.40Matchup
Den Haag attack
0.50goals per matchVitesse conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.80
9.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.00
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
29.70
Match total
19.60
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
6.50N=10
4.60
On target
2.00
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.6%84.2%+5.6 pp
Draw14.4%5.3%-9.1 pp
Away7.1%10.5%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
2.42–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-121.1%
3-021.1%
2-015.8%
1-25.3%
5-25.3%
Comparable corner averages
7.89–2.32
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away36.4%