Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 15:45
19.1810.3%
X6.0215.6%
21.2774.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
LDLLDWWDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Ajax
WWWDWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.60
1.20
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
7.30N=10
5.80
Against
2.50
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.60
1.20
Goals conceded
0.60
2.50
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.30goals per match
Ajax conceded0.60
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.60goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
5.80
Corners against
2.50
10.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
0.80N=10
1.60
Match total
1.70
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
16.80
Match total
21.00

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
20.60N=10
4.00
On target
7.70
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.3%18.2%+7.9 pp
Draw15.6%9.1%-6.5 pp
Away74.1%72.7%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.563.6%
BTTS81.8%

Historical average

1.092.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-336.4%
1-418.2%
1-19.1%
0-19.1%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.365.91
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away57.1%