Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 13:30
11.3669.3%
X4.9519.0%
28.1111.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PSV Eindhoven
WWWWLWWWDD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Heracles
LLDWWLDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.30
Against
6.50
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.10goals per match
Heracles conceded1.70
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.00goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.50
8.70
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.10
Match total
22.80

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
6.80
On target
2.40
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.3%65.1%-4.2 pp
Draw19.0%14.0%-5.1 pp
Away11.6%20.9%+9.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

2.190.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.3%
3-014.0%
2-19.3%
1-07.0%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.333.77
Average total11.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away28.6%