Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 13:30
18.5611.0%
X5.2118.1%
21.3370.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Den Haag
LDLLLDDDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Utrecht
LDDLWLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.70
2.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
6.70
Against
4.30
10.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Den Haag attack

1.00goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.20
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.70goals per match
Den Haag conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.30
10.90
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.80
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
19.70
Match total
21.90

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
2.90
On target
5.80
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.0%16.7%+5.7 pp
Draw18.1%23.3%+5.2 pp
Away70.9%60.0%-10.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.002.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
0-416.7%
0-36.7%
0-26.7%
1-46.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.136.00
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.536.7%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals56.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away82.6%