Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 19:00
15.5616.9%
X4.5620.7%
21.5162.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LWLDLLWLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WWWDDWWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.30
2.20
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.30
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.90
Against
4.00
9.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.30
2.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.40goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.30goals per match
Willem II conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.00
9.20
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.30
Match total
2.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
19.60
Match total
21.80

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.60
On target
6.10
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.9%7.1%-9.8 pp
Draw20.7%28.6%+7.9 pp
Away62.4%64.3%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.861.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-121.4%
0-014.3%
2-37.1%
0-37.1%
1-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.716.14
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%