Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 13:30
11.5162.4%
X4.3221.8%
25.9915.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
WWDWWWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Willem II
LLLLLDLLWD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Against
4.60
9.40
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.60goals per match
Willem II conceded2.40
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.10goals per match
Vitesse conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.60
9.40
Match total
7.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
2.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
28.70
Match total
22.70

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.4%70.6%+8.2 pp
Draw21.8%18.6%-3.2 pp
Away15.7%10.8%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

2.380.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.8%
3-010.8%
2-19.8%
4-08.8%
4-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.183.40
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%31.4%–68.6% CI
Draw FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away37.5%