Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 13:30
12.6934.9%
X3.6725.6%
22.3739.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WLWWWLLWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
LDDWDWWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
2.30
1.50
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
7.90N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.80
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.30goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.70Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.30goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
7.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.60
Match total
2.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
20.30
Match total
18.40
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
5.30
On target
7.30
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%28.6%-6.3 pp
Draw25.6%35.7%+10.2 pp
Away39.6%35.7%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS71.4%
Historical average
1.64–1.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-214.3%
1-114.3%
0-114.3%
2-17.1%
0-37.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.29–5.57
Average total10.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.61
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals21.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.2%
Away56.5%