Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 13:30
12.6934.9%
X3.6725.6%
22.3739.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WLWWWLLWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
LDDWDWWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.30
1.50
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
7.90N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.80
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.30goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.70
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.30goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
7.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
12.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.60
Match total
2.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
20.30
Match total
18.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
5.30
On target
7.30
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%28.6%-6.3 pp
Draw25.6%35.7%+10.2 pp
Away39.6%35.7%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.641.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-214.3%
1-114.3%
0-114.3%
2-17.1%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.295.57
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.2%
Away56.5%