Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 15:30
12.7134.7%
X3.5326.7%
22.4438.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LLWLDLLWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Heerenveen
WDDDLDLDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
2.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
6.30
9.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
2.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.10goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.60
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.00goals per match
Willem II conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.30
9.60
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.60
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
20.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%38.4%+3.6 pp
Draw26.7%25.3%-1.4 pp
Away38.6%36.4%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.411.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
1-210.1%
0-18.1%
0-08.1%
3-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.655.09
Average total10.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.8%
Over 9.562.6%
Over 10.552.5%
Over 11.540.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals51.4%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away51.4%