Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 15:45
13.2529.0%
X3.7725.0%
22.0546.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vitesse
WWWDWWWDLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
DWWWDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
2.40
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
6.70N=10
3.70
Against
3.90
9.30
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vitesse attack
1.60goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.10Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.40goals per matchVitesse conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.90
9.30
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
0.70N=10
3.10
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
28.50
Match total
20.40
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.90
On target
6.40
12%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%30.0%+1.0 pp
Draw25.0%30.0%+5.0 pp
Away46.0%40.0%-6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS90.0%
Historical average
1.50–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.0%
1-220.0%
2-210.0%
1-410.0%
1-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.30–3.40
Average total7.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.520.0%
Over 10.50.0%
Over 11.50.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away90.0%