Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 13:30
12.0645.7%
X3.4927.0%
23.4527.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LWLLLWWWLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Zwolle
LDDLWLWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.50
Against
7.30
8.70
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.60
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.40goals per match
Zwolle conceded2.20
Matchup

Zwolle attack

1.50goals per match
Heracles conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.30
8.70
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
0.60N=10
2.40
Match total
1.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
24.50
Match total
21.90

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%43.8%-1.9 pp
Draw27.0%29.5%+2.5 pp
Away27.3%26.7%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.341.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.5%
1-017.8%
2-19.6%
0-17.5%
1-26.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.58
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%27.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT31.9%20.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT27.7%16.9%–41.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.8%
Away48.9%