Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 13:30
12.0645.7%
X3.4927.0%
23.4527.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heracles
LWLLLWWWLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Zwolle
LDDLWLWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.50
Against
7.30
8.70
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.60
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heracles attack
1.40goals per matchZwolle conceded2.20Matchup
Zwolle attack
1.50goals per matchHeracles conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.30
8.70
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
0.60N=10
2.40
Match total
1.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
24.50
Match total
21.90
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%43.8%-1.9 pp
Draw27.0%29.5%+2.5 pp
Away27.3%26.7%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
1.34–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.5%
1-017.8%
2-19.6%
0-17.5%
1-26.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–4.58
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%27.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT31.9%20.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT27.7%16.9%–41.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.8%
Away48.9%