Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 11:15
11.2277.0%
X6.4214.6%
211.308.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WWWWLWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Groningen
LWLWWDWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

3.20
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
5.40
11.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
4.30
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.20goals per match
Groningen conceded1.60
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.50goals per match
Ajax conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.40
11.60
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.00
Match total
2.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.90
Match total
21.20

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
7.10
On target
3.70
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.0%75.0%-2.0 pp
Draw14.6%17.9%+3.2 pp
Away8.3%7.1%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

2.500.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.4%
4-017.9%
3-010.7%
2-010.7%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.142.46
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away33.3%