Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 15:45
12.0645.7%
X3.7225.3%
23.2529.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
DWWLWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Feyenoord
DWWWLWLLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.90
Against
4.70
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.00goals per matchFeyenoord conceded1.20Matchup
Feyenoord attack
1.50goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.70
10.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.50
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.00
Match total
24.30
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
6.00
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%40.0%-5.7 pp
Draw25.3%22.9%-2.5 pp
Away29.0%37.1%+8.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.46–1.51
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.4%
1-011.4%
0-38.6%
2-18.6%
2-38.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.80–4.57
Average total10.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away25.0%