Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 15:45
12.0645.7%
X3.7225.3%
23.2529.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DWWLWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Feyenoord
DWWWLWLLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.90
Against
4.70
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.00goals per match
Feyenoord conceded1.20
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

1.50goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.70
10.20
Match total
10.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.50
Match total
2.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.00
Match total
24.30

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
6.00
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%40.0%-5.7 pp
Draw25.3%22.9%-2.5 pp
Away29.0%37.1%+8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.461.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.4%
1-011.4%
0-38.6%
2-18.6%
2-38.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.804.57
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away25.0%