Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 13:30
13.3528.2%
X3.9623.9%
21.9747.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Ajax
LWWWWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
3.60
0.60
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
8.70N=10
3.40
Against
2.20
8.80
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
3.60
0.60
Goals conceded
0.60
3.10
Total goals
4.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.50goals per match
Ajax conceded0.60
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.60goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.50
2H goals scored
2.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
8.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.20
8.80
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.00
Match total
1.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
20.70
Match total
20.10

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
23.20N=10
7.00
On target
9.40
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%0.0%-28.2 pp
Draw23.9%41.7%+17.8 pp
Away47.9%58.3%+10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.002.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
0-216.7%
0-316.7%
1-58.3%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.005.33
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away76.9%