Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 13:30
13.3528.2%
X3.9623.9%
21.9747.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Ajax
LWWWWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
3.60
0.60
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
8.70N=10
3.40
Against
2.20
8.80
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
3.60
0.60
Goals conceded
0.60
3.10
Total goals
4.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.50goals per matchAjax conceded0.60Matchup
Ajax attack
3.60goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
2.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
8.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.20
8.80
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.00
Match total
1.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
20.70
Match total
20.10
Shots
16.60N=10
Shots
23.20N=10
7.00
On target
9.40
15%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%0.0%-28.2 pp
Draw23.9%41.7%+17.8 pp
Away47.9%58.3%+10.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.00–2.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
0-216.7%
0-316.7%
1-58.3%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–5.33
Average total10.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away76.9%