Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 11:15
11.7354.4%
X3.8424.5%
24.4721.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
DDLWWLLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Willem II
DDLLLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
2.20
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
2.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
2.20
Goals conceded
2.40
4.20
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

2.00goals per match
Willem II conceded2.40
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.90goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.70
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.4%60.8%+6.4 pp
Draw24.5%22.5%-2.0 pp
Away21.1%16.7%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS59.8%

Historical average

2.011.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.7%
2-112.7%
2-210.8%
3-18.8%
1-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.974.05
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away48.1%