Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-26 · 19:00
12.4937.9%
X3.4027.7%
22.7434.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zwolle
WLDDWDDLDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Heerenveen
LWDDDLDLDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.50
Against
6.40
10.10
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zwolle attack
1.10goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.70Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.00goals per matchZwolle conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.40
10.10
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.40
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.70
Match total
20.70
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.50
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%39.7%+1.9 pp
Draw27.7%22.0%-5.7 pp
Away34.4%38.3%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.32–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
1-011.3%
2-110.6%
0-19.2%
1-28.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.71
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Away FT33.3%20.2%–49.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.9%
Away55.6%