Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-24 · 15:30
11.7454.2%
X3.7825.0%
24.5420.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LLLWLDLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Den Haag
LWLLDDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
2.70
Conceded
2.40
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Against
6.60
9.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
2.70
Goals conceded
2.40
3.80
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.10goals per match
Den Haag conceded2.40
Matchup

Den Haag attack

0.80goals per match
Willem II conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.60
9.10
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.40
Match total
2.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
21.90
Match total
20.20

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.70
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.2%61.2%+7.0 pp
Draw25.0%24.6%-0.3 pp
Away20.8%14.2%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.830.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
1-111.9%
2-09.7%
2-19.7%
3-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.124.00
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%34.1%–61.9% CI
Draw FT37.0%24.5%–51.4% CI
Away FT15.2%7.6%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals23.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.4%
Away43.5%