Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 13:30
13.1230.2%
X3.5426.6%
22.1843.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Waalwijk
DDLDWLLDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Heracles
LDLLDWWLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
6.60
10.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

1.10goals per match
Heracles conceded1.70
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.90goals per match
Waalwijk conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.60
10.40
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
23.40
Match total
22.80

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
6.20
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%28.3%-1.9 pp
Draw26.6%25.7%-0.9 pp
Away43.2%46.0%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS60.2%

Historical average

1.201.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.3%
1-112.4%
0-210.6%
1-08.8%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.615.44
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Draw FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Away FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.0%
Away56.0%