Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 13:30
12.4638.3%
X3.3827.9%
22.7933.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WWWLDLLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Groningen
WLWLWWDWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
7.20
Against
5.10
12.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.60goals per match
Groningen conceded1.50
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.50goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
7.20
Corners against
5.10
12.00
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.30
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
17.90
Match total
21.60

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%36.4%-1.9 pp
Draw27.9%22.1%-5.7 pp
Away33.8%41.4%+7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.291.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.1%
1-112.1%
1-210.7%
0-110.0%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.54
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Draw FT26.3%15.0%–42.0% CI
Away FT34.2%21.2%–50.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals28.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away60.5%