Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 19:00
17.8712.0%
X5.2917.8%
21.3470.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

VVV Venlo
DLLWDLLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
DDWWWDDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.40
2.80
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
2.80
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
6.20
Against
4.20
9.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.40
2.80
Goals conceded
1.40
4.30
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

VVV Venlo attack

1.50goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.40goals per match
VVV Venlo conceded2.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.20
9.80
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.20
Match total
2.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.10
Match total
21.30

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
2.80
On target
6.00
17%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%15.8%+3.8 pp
Draw17.8%21.1%+3.3 pp
Away70.2%63.2%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.573.7%
Over 3.547.4%
BTTS73.7%

Historical average

1.162.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.8%
0-210.5%
1-110.5%
1-610.5%
0-410.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.426.11
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.4%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away73.3%