Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 13:30
11.3669.0%
X5.0318.7%
27.6112.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Feyenoord
DWDWDDWWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Willem II
LDDLLLLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.80
Against
4.50
11.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

1.80goals per match
Willem II conceded2.10
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.90goals per match
Feyenoord conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.50
11.20
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.40
Match total
24.30

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.70
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.0%66.7%-2.3 pp
Draw18.7%15.4%-3.3 pp
Away12.3%17.9%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

2.100.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.9%
3-012.8%
2-110.3%
1-07.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.743.79
Average total10.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.541.0%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away30.8%