Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 11:15
11.4664.4%
X4.5920.5%
26.2115.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
DDWWLWWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Heerenveen
DLWDDDLDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.90
Against
7.20
10.00
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.80goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.50Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.00goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.20
10.00
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.10
Match total
21.00
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.40
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.4%61.1%-3.3 pp
Draw20.5%27.8%+7.3 pp
Away15.1%11.1%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS69.4%
Historical average
2.44–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-113.9%
2-111.1%
2-011.1%
1-111.1%
2-211.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.28–3.58
Average total10.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.538.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals31.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.9%
Away52.6%