Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 11:15
11.4664.4%
X4.5920.5%
26.2115.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DDWWLWWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Heerenveen
DLWDDDLDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.90
Against
7.20
10.00
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.80goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.50
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.00goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.20
10.00
Match total
12.00
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.10
Match total
21.00

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.40
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.4%61.1%-3.3 pp
Draw20.5%27.8%+7.3 pp
Away15.1%11.1%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS69.4%

Historical average

2.441.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-113.9%
2-111.1%
2-011.1%
1-111.1%
2-211.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.283.58
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.9%
Away52.6%