Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 17:45
18.1111.6%
X5.3417.6%
21.3370.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
WDLWLLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Ajax
WLWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
3.50
0.90
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
8.60N=10
3.60
Against
1.90
9.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
3.50
0.90
Goals conceded
0.60
2.40
Total goals
4.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.50goals per match
Ajax conceded0.60
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.50goals per match
Heracles conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
8.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
1.90
9.10
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.20
Match total
1.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
24.60
Match total
20.30

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
23.40N=10
4.70
On target
9.50
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.6%27.8%+16.2 pp
Draw17.6%22.2%+4.6 pp
Away70.8%50.0%-20.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.583.3%
Over 3.555.6%
BTTS88.9%

Historical average

1.672.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
1-111.1%
1-611.1%
2-111.1%
3-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.506.89
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away70.6%