Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 13:30
11.4963.2%
X4.4821.0%
25.9915.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
DWWWWWLLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Waalwijk
LLLLLWLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
3.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.20
2.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
4.10
9.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
3.00
3.60
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

2.70goals per match
Waalwijk conceded3.00
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

0.80goals per match
Heracles conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.10
9.80
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.80
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.10
Match total
22.60

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.60
On target
3.00
18%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%65.0%+1.8 pp
Draw21.0%20.0%-1.0 pp
Away15.7%15.0%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

2.300.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-110.0%
2-210.0%
3-110.0%
4-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.254.20
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away40.0%