Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 13:30
11.4963.2%
X4.4821.0%
25.9815.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Feyenoord
WLWDWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Willem II
LLWLDWWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.60
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

2.40goals per match
Willem II conceded2.00
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.40goals per match
Feyenoord conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.20
Match total
21.10

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
7.50
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%65.0%+1.8 pp
Draw21.0%20.0%-1.0 pp
Away15.8%15.0%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

2.300.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-110.0%
2-210.0%
3-110.0%
4-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.254.20
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away38.1%