Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 11:15
11.5859.5%
X4.1122.9%
25.3517.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Utrecht
LWWWWLLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
DLDLLLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.30
Against
6.10
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Utrecht attack
2.20goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded2.10Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
0.60goals per matchUtrecht conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.10
10.70
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
21.10
Match total
22.30
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.5%56.4%-3.1 pp
Draw22.9%15.4%-7.5 pp
Away17.6%28.2%+10.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS38.5%
Historical average
1.67–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.4%
3-010.3%
1-210.3%
4-07.7%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.72–3.77
Average total9.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.525.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away28.6%