Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 19:45
15.2517.9%
X4.6920.1%
21.5262.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
DWDWWLDLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ajax
WWDWWWWLLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.30
1.30
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
7.20N=10
4.20
Against
3.90
11.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.40goals per match
Ajax conceded1.20
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.30goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.90
11.10
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.80
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.40
Match total
21.10

Shots

20.10N=10
Shots
18.00N=10
6.00
On target
6.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.9%18.8%+0.8 pp
Draw20.1%12.5%-7.6 pp
Away62.0%68.8%+6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.581.3%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.942.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-325.0%
1-412.5%
1-312.5%
1-06.3%
2-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.385.94
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%